Representation theorems for partially exchangeable random variables

نویسندگان

  • Jasper De Bock
  • Arthur Van Camp
  • Márcio Alves Diniz
  • Gert de Cooman
چکیده

We provide representation theorems for both finite and countable sequences of finite-valued random variables that are considered to be partially exchangeable. In their most general form, our results are presented in terms of sets of desirable gambles, a very general framework for modelling uncertainty. Its key advantages are that it allows for imprecision, is more expressive than almost every other imprecise-probabilistic framework and makes conditioning on events with (lower) probability zero non-problematic. We translate our results to more conventional, although less general frameworks as well: lower previsions, linear previsions and probability measures. The usual, precise-probabilistic representation theorems for partially exchangeable random variables are obtained as special cases. © 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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عنوان ژورنال:
  • Fuzzy Sets and Systems

دوره 284  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2016